Roots of Progress InstituteFellow
2026 — Present
Research & Writing
Nikhil Davar researches, writes about, and invests in the technologies, firms, and people that are making the future high-variance.
Nikhil Davar researches, writes about, and invests in the technologies, firms, and people that are making the future high-variance.
2026 — Present
Research & Writing
Aug 2024 — Present
For nearly 25 years, Palantir has built a unique business that few understand, inside or outside of Silicon Valley. Now, the Frontier Labs want a piece of the action.
In retrospect, Google was building a full-stack AI company all along. Cybernetic Rollups and value capture in a world of abundant machine intelligence.

If there's an AI application that requires specialized knowledge, and is already attached to a lucrative existing business model, it can achieve escape velocity by getting rapid deployment and monopolizing the best verifiers and training data. This is already happening in healthcare.
The more the default way to start solving a problem is to converse with a frontier agent harness, the more they end up being a frontend to the entire economy. But a frontend is only as useful as the API powering it. Fortunately, OpenAI is building this out—and it's hard to see where that process will stop.
