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Stephen Grugett co-founded and leads MNX, a decentralized futures exchange focused on the AI economy. He previously co-founded and led Manifold Markets, co-founded Throne’s creator group-chat platform, and founded the bitcoin exchange QwickBit and ginseng marketplace Rareroot.

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Stephen Grugett co-founded and leads MNX, a decentralized futures exchange focused on the AI economy. He previously co-founded and led Manifold Markets, co-founded Throne’s creator group-chat platform, and founded the bitcoin exchange QwickBit and ginseng marketplace Rareroot.

Career

Stephen Grugett holds a Bachelor of Science in Computer Science; double major in Computer Science and Philosophy from Yale University.

Co-Founder and CEO at MNX from 2026-02 to Present
Co-Founder and CEO at Manifold Markets from 2021-12 to 2026-08Co-founded the prediction-market platform. Developed ManiPerp, a pool-based mechanism for perpetual futures.
Co-Founder at Throne from 2018-01 to 2021Built subscription group chat for creators.
Independent Trader at Self-employed from 2015-08 to 2018-08
Technology Associate at Susquehanna International Group from 2013 to 2014
Founder at QwickBit from 2012 to 2012Built a short-lived retail bitcoin exchange while an undergraduate.
Intern at Microsoft from 2011 to 2011

Cosigns Received

These Cosigners say Stephen shaped their career

Media appearance

Prediction markets, in theory and practice

Stephen’s live Manifest interview on building Manifold, designing markets, and turning forecasts into useful products.

theojaffee.com · Open ↗
manifold.markets

ManiPerp: a simple AMM for perpetual futures

Stephen’s technical paper explains a two-pool market maker, funding payments and solvency mechanics for user-created markets.

Open ↗

Stephen's Collections

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Cosigns Given